Modelling cities’ pathways to zero-emission urban mobility

T&E-urban-mobility

Modelling European cities’ pathways to zero-emission urban mobility by 2030 through the development of potential transition scenarios

This study modelled European cities’ pathways to zero-emission urban mobility by 2030 through the development of potential transition scenarios. Each scenario is built on different set of sustainable policy measures, whose impacts is quantified through a series of indicators as output results.

T&E modelling cities dThe assessment is realized through MOMOS a quantitative tool which allows to simulate and quantify in a simplified way the impacts of potential mobility transition scenarios in cities.

Four potential scenarios, each one with a different focus and a specific combination of policy measures, have been simulated and applied to five real European cities: Brussels, Madrid, Milan, Greater Manchester, and Warsaw. An in-depth data collection defined and reproduced the city characteristics at the base year, including socio-demographic aspects as well as mobility features.

The main output of the study consisted in the calculation of the CO2 emissions reduction associated to each scenario. Besides that, a series of core indicators have also been calculated for the 2030 horizon. These included: modal split, public and private fleet electrification, car ownership, road safety, and air pollutants emissions.

In addition, multi-criteria cost effectiveness analysis estimated costs and benefits associated to the four transition scenarios. Such analysis was based on four components: (implementation and maintenance) costs of the policy measures, environmental benefits, users’ transport costs and travel time, and revenues for the public administration and service providers.

 

For more information, the full study can be found here.

 


Projects

Project Description

CLIENT
European Federation for Transport & Environment

PERIOD
2023

REFERENTE
Stefano Borgato
borgato@trt.it